Pre-tourney Rankings
Cleveland St.
Horizon
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#88
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#92
Pace64.4#255
Improvement-2.0#242

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#131
Improvement+1.1#108

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#67
Improvement-3.1#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 13   @ Vanderbilt W 71-58 13%     1 - 0 +30.4 +4.4 +25.9
  Nov 18, 2011 57   St. Bonaventure W 67-64 53%     2 - 0 +7.7 -1.8 +9.6
  Nov 22, 2011 116   @ Kent St. W 57-53 44%     3 - 0 +11.0 -17.6 +28.2
  Nov 25, 2011 191   Boston University W 63-62 75%     4 - 0 -0.6 -6.8 +6.2
  Nov 26, 2011 218   Hofstra L 53-63 79%     4 - 1 -13.1 -13.4 -0.9
  Nov 27, 2011 215   @ Rhode Island W 67-45 68%     5 - 1 +22.6 +4.5 +21.9
  Dec 01, 2011 214   @ Wright St. W 45-43 68%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +2.6 -5.5 +8.9
  Dec 03, 2011 119   @ Detroit Mercy W 66-61 45%     7 - 1 2 - 0 +11.8 -4.5 +16.4
  Dec 08, 2011 148   @ Robert Morris W 62-58 53%     8 - 1 +8.8 -4.1 +13.2
  Dec 10, 2011 73   Akron W 69-66 58%     9 - 1 +6.4 -0.6 +7.1
  Dec 19, 2011 55   @ South Florida L 55-70 28%     9 - 2 -3.5 +0.1 -5.8
  Dec 22, 2011 270   Sam Houston St. W 63-45 91%     10 - 2 +8.4 -2.2 +12.7
  Dec 28, 2011 197   @ Toledo W 72-64 65%     11 - 2 +9.5 -0.5 +10.2
  Dec 31, 2011 169   Youngstown St. L 67-73 80%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -9.6 -3.2 -6.9
  Jan 05, 2012 280   Illinois-Chicago W 73-56 92%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +6.7 +4.7 +4.2
  Jan 07, 2012 275   Loyola Chicago W 69-48 92%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +11.0 +1.4 +12.3
  Jan 13, 2012 129   @ Butler W 76-69 48%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +13.0 +13.0 +0.2
  Jan 15, 2012 144   @ Valparaiso L 66-72 52%     14 - 4 5 - 2 -1.0 -2.8 +1.6
  Jan 20, 2012 176   Green Bay W 78-68 82%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +6.0 +4.4 +1.6
  Jan 22, 2012 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-57 77%     16 - 4 7 - 2 +23.7 +14.8 +10.1
  Jan 28, 2012 169   @ Youngstown St. W 67-47 59%     17 - 4 8 - 2 +23.2 -3.5 +27.6
  Feb 03, 2012 275   @ Loyola Chicago W 65-47 79%     18 - 4 9 - 2 +14.8 +3.2 +14.7
  Feb 05, 2012 280   @ Illinois-Chicago W 70-42 80%     19 - 4 10 - 2 +24.5 +8.9 +21.0
  Feb 09, 2012 144   Valparaiso L 41-59 76%     19 - 5 10 - 3 -19.8 -28.8 +7.0
  Feb 11, 2012 129   Butler L 49-52 73%     19 - 6 10 - 4 -3.8 -13.6 +9.3
  Feb 14, 2012 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 84-86 54%     19 - 7 10 - 5 +2.5 +20.3 -17.9
  Feb 18, 2012 63   Drexel L 49-69 55%     19 - 8 -15.9 -9.9 -10.5
  Feb 21, 2012 176   @ Green Bay L 67-71 60%     19 - 9 10 - 6 -1.2 -1.6 +0.3
  Feb 23, 2012 119   Detroit Mercy W 77-64 70%     20 - 9 11 - 6 +13.0 +1.1 +11.7
  Feb 25, 2012 214   Wright St. W 77-55 86%     21 - 9 12 - 6 +15.8 +11.6 +6.1
  Mar 03, 2012 119   Detroit Mercy L 58-63 58%     21 - 10 -1.6 -12.1 +10.2
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%